MGS 8150: Business Modeling

Spring 2010 / Course Schedule 

Dr. Alok Srivastava

 

 

Visit this page regularly. I will be posting assignments, review materials, and other resources every week. This schedule is tentative and changes may be necessary.

 

Electronic Text                        Six Sigma Certification

 

Date

Topics

Resources /

Assignments (due following week)

1/13

Overview of Decision Sciences

Why Model?

 

Obtain Software

Publishing to the Web

Account Info on GSU server

 

Assignment 1 Personal Statement  

1/20

Introduction to Modeling (ch. 1)

The Modeling Process

MB-DSS : Modeling Uncertainty

Putting it all together: Decision Sciences in Context

Assignment 2: Write a short report on each –

DSS Examples  

 

Tutorial on DataTables

1/27

Spreadsheet Modeling (ch.2)

Model-Based DSS

Influence Diagrams

Business Intelligence

 

2/3

2/10

Forecasting Models (12.5 – 12.7)

Modeling Complexity and Uncertainty using Time Series

Time Series Analysis 

Reading

Project 1:

Forecasting Project 

 

Datasets

2/17

 

Forecasting Models (12.1-12.5)

Regression Analysis  

Interpreting Regression Results

Reading

Project 2:

Regression Project 

 

Example Dataset

2/24

 

Demand Forecasting Models

DSS for Marketing (Product Life Cycle, Competitor Analysis, etc.)

Modeling Firm Demand

Data for demand forecasting

An example of DSS for marketing decisions

 

Project 3:

DSS development project

 

 

The Modeling Process

Model Development, Implementation and Use

Sensitivity Analyses and Goal Seeking

Auditing and Reverse Engineering

DSS Design and Development Issues

 

 

3/3

 

MIDTERM EXAM

 

 

 

 

 

3/17

 

Ch. 10: Simulation Models - Managing Uncertainty and Complexity (Monte-Carlo Simulation)

Overview of Monte-Carlo Simulation (using Crystal Ball)

General Overview of Simulation

Modeling Process for MCS

 

 

@Risk Video Tutorial

3/24

 

Monte-Carlo Simulation Continued

Time dependent simulation

Risk Analysis

MCS example

Project 4:

Monte-Carlo Simulation Project

 

Example Models

3/31

 

Ch 4:  Optimization Techniques (Lecture Notes)

Modeling process for optimization

Linear Programming

Graphical Method

Solving LP Models

Examples

 

 

Project 5: Optimization Project

 

 

4/7

 

Ch 5 and 6:  Optimization Techniques

Network Models

Integer Programming

 

 

4/14

Data Mining Techniques

Classification Techniques (Discriminant and Factor Analyses)

Data Mining Tool for Excel – XL Miner

4/21

Final Project Presentations

 

5/4

In-class Final

Final Exam – take home (from previous semester)

 

Misc (Patch to upgrade software that accompanies the text)

 

 

 

 

Obtain Software